Local New Home Sales Trump Rest of Nation

There’s the national new homes sales market. Then there’s the local new homes sales market. And they’re quite different from each other. The Washington, DC metro/Northern Virginia new homes sales market is ahead of the curve and doing much better than the rest of the nation.

There have been many articles and media coverage of how new home sales have slowed down. In some areas, new home sales have “plummeted” and “almost completely dried up”. Builder Magazine just ran an article, “New Home Sales Decline, Prompting Predictions of Worst Year on Record”, which paints a very gloomy picture of the new home market.

But that’s the national market. What about the local market here in the Washington, DC metro/Northern Virginia area?

Builders with developments/communities in this area saw the worst of the local new home sales market 3 to 5 years ago. Things started slowly turning around about 3 years ago. Then, as of about 18 months ago, someone lit a match under the new home sales market and the market took off.

For example, in speaking with several folks who are in the construction business, both builder employees and subcontractors, work finally began flowing about anywhere from 12 to 18 months ago. Rather than looking for side jobs to make ends meet, they’re working full time building homes across the DC metro/Northern VA area.

Another example is builder sales centers. Instead of a lot of green dots signalling open lots and sales reps throwing incentives at buyers as if they were confetti, there are red dots all over the site maps and incentives are few and far between.

And the attitude of builder sales reps is quite different… A look of despair was hard to hide a few years ago while smiles and positive attitudes are the norm nowadays.

The most impressive example is the actual number of new homes being sold and the success of communities and developments throughout the area. At the top of the list is Brambleton (Ashburn, Loudoun County, VA)…

In 2010, Brambleton set a record for the most new homes sold in its’ 10 year history. On top of that…Brambleton has sold more homes January through July 2011 than it did January through July 2010.

The thing that makes that statistic even more impressive is that Brambleton is made up of not just one builder, but 7 builders. And they all build different products and appeal to different home buyer personalities, incomes and demographics.

Why is this information important to consumers? Here are a just a few of the reasons…

1. If you are only reading national headlines, you may get a rude awakening when you walk into a new home sales center and try to negotiate 10% off the base price, get another $50K in incentives and put down a deposit on that awesome lot that was available last week.
2. You may not have believed your Buyer’s Agent when they told you something similar last week or even 18 months ago, but here’s the thing…they were telling you the truth.
3. If you’re a seller, you need to realize that you don’t have just your neighbors’ homes to compete with. You also have nearby home builders to compete with. Buyers are not just looking at existing homes – they’re also looking very closely at what home builders have to offer. And what they have to offer is often very enticing.
4. Builders know that they have the market on their side so you have to be even more careful when working and negotiating with a builder. You should have a Buyer’s Agent well versed in new construction on your side. Remember, a real estate agent’s/broker’s commission is a already written into the sales price. And no, you don’t get that commission refunded to you if you don’t have an agent/broker. So why would you not hire an agent/broker, pay the commission anyway and pad the builder’s pockets with even more profits?

If you have specific questions about the local new homes sales market, new home communities, builders or the new home purchase process in general, email or call me any time.

 

Washington, DC Metro Area Rental Rates Rising

Rental rates in the Washington, DC metro area (including Northern VA and MD) are rising. They’ve risen so much that the Washington, DC metro area came in 9th in the list of metro areas in the U.S. with the greatest increase in rental rates.

Here’s the list in order…

1. Greenville, SC (+11.2%; $669 average monthly rent)
2. Chattanooga, TN (+10.4%; $726 average monthly rent)
3. Savannah, GA (+8.4%; $866 average monthly rent)
4. Portland, OR (+8.1%; $875 average monthly rent)
5. San Jose, CA (+8.0%; $1,716 average monthly rent)
6. Nashville, TN (+8.0%; $786 average monthly rent)
7. Tacoma, WA (+8.0%; $900 average monthly rent)
8. Denver, CO (+7.5%; $873 average monthly rent)
9. Washington, DC (+7.4%; $1,473 average monthly rent)
10. Raleigh, NC (+7.4%; $785 average monthly rent)

Good for landlords and investors

This is good news if you’re a landlord/investor because it’s more money in your pocket and a higher return on your rental property investment. For those that are renting their property out because they are upside down, but don’t want to or can’t do a short-sale, the rental rate may soon able to cover your mortgage rather than you losing money every month.

Not good for renters

This is not good news for renters. It means more money and less negotiating power when getting a rental. For several years now, rental rates have been very low compared to mortgage amounts for the same property making renting a very attractive prospect. But that’s starting to change. For those on the fence about renting or buying, you want to start explore your options when it comes to buying. Rental rates are on the way up yet, prices are at realistic levels and mortgage rates are still very low (for the moment).

Note: This figure is for the general DC metro area – each specific area and subdivision is different. Contact me to find out what the rental market is like in your specific area or the area you’re looking to rent in.

H/T Bill Lublin

What I Learned at REBarCampDC and What It Means To You

This past Tuesday, I attended REBarCampDC – an informal “un-conference” focused on how to incorporate the latest social media and technology tools into your real estate business model. The event brought together some of the best and brightest Realtors and technology folks from around the Mid-Atlantic area – even as far away as California.

REBarCampDC proved to be a great learning experience. No matter how long you’ve been doing something, there’s always more to learn. There are always others that know more or do things differently that can give you a new/fresh perspective on things if you care to listen/learn.

But, more importantly, it proved to be a great event for my clients. Eve though my clients were not there, they will directly benefit in the form of better service and a better experience thanks to the tools I learned about at REBarCampDC.

Some of my personal highlights of the event were…

1. Home Search – the event reiterated the need to have a “Home Search” function available to my blog readers and clients. The general consensus was that FrankyMLS was the most up to date, accurate and user-friendly real estate search site in the DC/VA/MD area. I’m happy to say that I’ve had that feature available to blog readers and home buyers here on my blog since day 1.
2. Statistics – Home buyers, sellers, investors and the media want to see statistics. One of the technology gurus present present at the event was Mike Simonsen of Altos Research. Altos provides in-depth and up-to-date data in the form of tables and charts. I had the chance to sit down with Mike one-on-one to get a test run and tutorial of Altos’ new flash charts, which are interactive and should be a big hit with consumers. You can find an example of these charts on my previous blog post talking about Loudoun County housing inventory being down (click here).
3. Community Topics – Though home buyers and sellers want to know about real estate in the area, they also want to know about the area itself. Though I do talk about local businesses and community events from time to time, I will be focusing much more on this moving forward. I am currently working on several posts about local businesses and events by reaching out to owners and event coordinators for interviews, information, etc. And I’m not talking about posting the facts (What, Where, When) – I’m talking about the “feel” of these businesses and events and my personal take on them as a consumer/attendee.
4. Video – is where it’s at. This is according to many of those at the event that have been dabbling around with video. I tend to agree with them because I’ve done a few video tours of builder’s model homes and they’ve been a big hit with home buyers/consumers. Therefore, I will be doing video tours of all the builders’ model homes in the area over the next few months so that you can see what they look like from the privacy and comfort of your own home.
5. Knowing what you don’t know – is more important than knowing what you do know. Though it’s not necessarily a social media or technology topic, it was talked about a lot at the event. Blogging about or talking to clients about areas or topics that you are not an expert in is a disservice to your clients (and the general public). If you run across a buyer or seller that wants to buy or sell in an area that you’re not completely familiar with, refer them to someone who does. The consumer will value your honesty and integrity and will remember that for years to come. And what goes around comes around…the consumer you referred out as well as the Realtor that you referred them to will most likely refer people back to you at some point down the road. Same thing goes for blogging – Realtors should focus on blogging/talking about topics and area they’re familiar with rather than going outside their area of expertise for the sake of making more money.

Exchanged great ideas…one-on-one time with the top guy at a real estate technology firm…learned a lot…clients will benefit from what I learned…hung out with friends…made new friends… You can’t ask for much more!

Special thanks to Ainsley McDougal of NVAR for helping make the event possible!