What Happens if Loudoun Backs Out of the Dulles Metrorail Project?

Loudoun County is considering backing out of the Dulles Metrorail project. More specifically, Loudoun may back out of the last two planned stops on the Silver Line in Loudoun County- Route 606 and Route 772. If this happens, it will have a huge impact on Loudoun, its’ residents and home values.

Why is Loudoun County considering backing out of the Dulles Rail project?

• Loudoun officials want an above ground station at Dulles Airport far from the actual terminal versus MWAA’s more expensive $300 million underground station that drops passengers close to the main terminal.
• This additional cost is on top of the already $1 billion dollar increase in costs to the project. And costs could very well go up even more as the project moves forward.
• Loudoun is responsible for 4.6 percent of costs associated with the building of the project
• Due to the additional costs, tolls would rise to $6.75 (one way) with Federal financing and $10.75 (one way) without Federal financing

What happens to the Dulles Rail project and stations within Loudoun if Loudoun backs out?

• The last two stops on the Silver Line would be scrapped and the Metrorail would end at Dulles Airport
• Since the Dulles Airport station is in Loudoun County, Loudoun will still be responsible for the operation and maintenance of the airport station
• Parking at and around Dulles Airport would be affected – the proposed neighboring Route 606 Metrorail station would have provided parking garages with 6,000 parking spaces

The affect on Loudoun, its’ residents and home value if Loudoun back outs of the Dulles Rail project…

Developments well into (and even beyond) the planning and approval phases will be greatly scaled back if not scrapped altogether. We are talking about millions of dollars and thousands of man hours already spent only to be thrown away at the 11th hour.

We are also talking about Loudoun sending this message to Comstock, Claude Moore Foundation and other developers,
“Don’t take our word for anything. We may just change our minds at the last minute and leave you out to dry.”
This negative stigma will reputation will stick around Loudoun for many years to come. If you think that this may not affect you as a homeowner, think again…

The majority of Loudoun’s tax base comes from residential property taxes (aka homeowners). If the corporate/business tax base increases, the tax burden on homeowners would decrease. If the corporate/business tax base stays the same or goes down, the tax burden on homeowners will increase.

Furthermore, all of the cool developments, their amenities and positive affects on home values be no more. Just look at the affect metro had on Arlington back in the day and is having on Tyson’s and Reston today…

Once the metro came out to Arlington, property values went up. Arlington became a desirable place to live and has further prospered as an easily accessible area with developments and amenities galore.

Fast forward to Tyson’s and Reston today…property values in both areas started going up well before the rest of NoVA showed any signs of stabilization or recovery. I can give you countless examples of property values going up 10 to 30 percent over the last 18 months around the future Metrorail stations including roads and arteries to/from the Tyson’s and Reston stations. I highly doubt we would be seeing this type of appreciation without the metro.

Coincidence or not?

Is it mere coincidence or is thanks to the proposed metro stations at Route 606 and Route 772 that Brambleton, Loudoun Valley Estates, South Riding, Stone Ridge and other neighboring communities have seen sales go through the roof and values hold strong over the past 18 months?

Considering that every buyer I have come across looking in those areas over the last 2 years has mentioned the future metro stations as a reason for considering buying there, I’d say it’s definitely not a coincidence.

Now consider what would happen if Loudoun backed out of those stations.

I usually remain objective in my posts, but I’m interjecting my $0.02 this time…

- Yes, costs are important to consider. And yes, costs have skyrocketed. But you should have anticipated this if you’ve read even one U.S. history book in your lifetime.

- You should be looking hard for alternatives such as Federal financing/assistance rather than just thinking about scrapping the project.

- Consider the affects on the residents and overall reputation of Loudoun.

- Consider the good the proposed metro has had on the area already, its’ future positive impact and the negative impact it will have if its’ scrapped.

- Think long term rather than just tomorrow.

It would be a shame to see Loudoun County back out of the Dulles Rail project – for everyone’s sake. I hope Loudoun County can get it together and move forward rather than backward.

 

Photo Credit

This Month’s Special: 58% Off Greenvest Land in Loudoun

Vienna-based Greenvest LC used to own 4100 acres in the Dulles South area of Loudoun County. That all changed two days ago when the land, valued by some at $165 million, was auctioned for $69 million.

iStar Financial, the company that originally lent Greentvest $130 million for the land, foreclosed on the land. The land was auctioned off this past Tuesday at the Leesburg courthouse steps.

The winning bidder?

iStar Financial (they sure love spending money, don’t they?)

What led to the foreclosure auction?

Greenvest was hoping to have the land subdivided into four communities — Greenfields, Lena, Broad Run Village and Arcola. But the public outcry against further intercounty development and the congestion that would come along with it led to the county denying requests to rezone the land. And that left the development dead in its tracks.

Last year, Greenvest tried to sell 100 of those acres to the Loudoun County school system, which wanted the land for future schools. The Loudoun School Board rejected the idea over concerns that the $20 million price tage was too high.

With no chance of moving forward with the development, Greenvest defaulted on its $130 million loan. That led to foreclosure proceedings, Tuesday’s auction and iStar Financial, the company that originally lent Greenvest the $130 million, buying the land back for $69 million.

What now?

iStar Financial will try to sell the land in order to recoup some of the money lost (and spent) throughout this whole ordeal. But they face some serious hurdles:

• previous requests to rezone the land have been denied
• tightened lending/financing guidelines
• a weak local and national economy
• increased proffers (click here for more on that)

On a related note, the $165 million valuation seems to have come from Loudoun County itself – probably for tax revenue purposes – and is most likely not the land’s true market value (just look how much it actually sold for at the auction).

At $16,829 per acre, it may seem like quite a bargain. But it may be a while before iStar sees a return on their purchase. As one real estate developer who attended the auction said, “I don’t buy green bananas.”

1st Annual Dulles Home Fair Offers Free Classes for Consumers

The 1st Annual Dulles Home Fair, presented by the Dulles Area Association of Realtors, will offer free classes to consumers on a variety of real estate related topics. Some of the topics being taught/discussed are:

• Keeping Score: How to Monitor and Fix Your Credit
• Homeownership 101: How to Buy a Home
• County Housing Opportunity Programs
• The Legal Pitfalls of Foreclosures
• Staging your Home for Resale
• The State of the Housing Market
• Finding and Working With a REALTOR®

The classes are free as part the Dulles Home Fair Consumer Day on Saturday, June 13, 2009. Doors open at 9:00am and the event goes until 4:00pm. The Dulles Home Fair is being held at the Embassy Suites Hotel Dulles North, 44610 Waxpool Road, Dulles, VA 20147.

UPDATE: Click here for the schedule of free classes on Consumer Day at the 1st Annual Dulles Home Fair