Home Buyer Demand, Sales Up Across Loudoun and Fairfax County

October 8, 2009 by Danilo Bogdanovic  
Filed under Statistics

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Home buyer demand/sales in Loudoun County were up 11 percent in the 3rd quarter of 2009 over the 3rd quarter 2008. And it’s up 53 percent over 2007. (Buyer demand is defined by the number of homes that go under contract during a set time period)

Fairfax County had an 18 percent increase in home buyer demand/sales in the 3rd quarter 2009 over 2008. And it’s up 62 percent over 2007.

Why the increase?

  1. Lower prices - prices have come down considerably since the peak making it more affordable and appealing for home buyers. And the less expensive something is, the more people can afford it
  2. Low interest rates - interest rates hit historical lows and are still very low. Lower interest rate = greater purchasing power
  3. Programs/benefits - Programs such as the $8000 first-time home buyer federal tax credit has helped spark demand (click here for more info on first-time home buyer tax credit). I’ve worked with more first-time home buyers this year than in any of the last 6 years (and it’s only October). Other programs such as the Freddie Mac HomeSteps SmartBuy program have also helped increased demand (click here for more info on Smartbuy program)

Will it continue?

Maybe. If rates remain steady and/or the tax credit get renewed or a similar program come out, then we’ll probably see home buyer demand steady or continue increasing (though I don’t think there’s room for too much more increase in buyer demand).

Maybe not. If rates creep up and/or the first-time home buyer federal tax credit not be renewed and/or (more) bad economic news come out, we may see buyer demand taper off or even decrease.

Who wins?

The buyers that purchased a home at a much lower price than years prior and at a low interest rate while taking advantage of the first-time home buyer federal tax credit made out the best.

Sellers came in at a close second - increased demand and very low inventory make for a winning combination when selling your home.

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How to Buy a New Home and Still Have Representation

If you’re thinking about buying a new home from a builder, check out this question posted by new home buyers on Trulia:

My husband and I put an offer on a new house without representation from a Realtor. We have signed a builder’s contract. Can we still get a Realtor to represent us to go over everything until closing?

My response:

Yes, you can hire a Realtor to represent you at any time. But you will have to pay them out of your own pocket. The builder will not pay your Realtor any commission because you did not have them with you at the very beginning of the process and the transaction.

I’d be happy to chat with you more about this, but it’s a better phone call than an email or comment. What’s the best number to reach you on?

On a related note, you may want to read this post regarding a new home builder taking home buyers to the cleaners (to the tune of $50 million) - http://loudounscene.com/2009/07/beazer-homes-to-pay-50m-to-victimized-home-buyers.html

Here are excerpts from other responses:

I used to work New Homes for a decade. Keep in mind when you a prospective buyer enters the Sales Office of a new home commuity and you are asked to fill out and sign the little registration card, that is so the builder knows how the buyer came to the community. Builders have a formula they use to figure out the pricing of a community. Using historical information, they budget in the price the number of homes that will be sold with Realtor representation and if the advertising campaigns work well,and the road signage works well, sometimes they make out better with more buyers wandering in without representation. It’s business. They are trying to sell and make a profit. My advice for others out looking, if you have a Realtor or feel you want Realtor representation, just write on the card you have a Realtor. That way you will have that option at a later date if you feel you need it.

Remember Builders are no different than glorified For Sale By Owner situations. The person onsite works for the builder. Period. There responsiblity is to sell the homes on that site.

- Peggy James

Yes, you can, but the builder is under no obligation to pay them a commission. So if you want to pay them or they want to do it because they love you, its all good.

- Fred Wolfe

I sell new construction and new home communities with builders/developers of New Construction and New Home Developments and have so for years like many real estate professionals doing so.

This [registering of the buyer's agent/broker] must be done with broker/agent and potential buyer on the very first visit in the Sales office with the Sales Representative for the new home development on the floor during time of walk in to preview models of the new home community.

After first initial registration, the would be buyer can go back a number of times with their friends and family to preview models again in consideration of their purchase in that community once already registered with their agent representing them.

No money is out of pocket with the buyer. The commission earned to the buyers agent/broker is paid by the New Home Developer to the broker and broker/agent representing the buyer and the buyer is allowed to have his own agent represent him in the purchase of the new home development. The new home builder developer of that community represents then the seller which is the Builder of the new home development, and the agent/broker represents the new home community buyer for that developer.

- Sandra Allman

Don’t put yourself in the same situation as these new home buyers. Be prepared and you can have representation throughout the entire process and transaction - without having to pull extra money out of your pocket.

And the great thing is that being prepared is simple:

  1. Before you start looking around, interview and hire a knowledgeable Buyer’s Agent experienced with new homes and builders in the area
  2. Bring your Buyer’s Agent with you on your first visit and/or have them go out and preview new construction home sites and models on your behalf ahead of time

If you need to speak with an agent that knows the ins and outs of new homes and builders, email or call me. I would be glad to help.

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New Home Buyers: What You Don’t Know Can Cost You

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Sterling Housing Market Update

June 20, 2009 by Danilo Bogdanovic  
Filed under Statistics, Sterling

Here’s a look at what’s going on with the Sterling housing market (all zip codes)…

Sterling Median Price

The median price has been falling in Sterling since the market turned until about March of this year. Over the past rew months, the median price has spiked significantly (by almost $100,000).


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Sterling Inventory

Inventory of single family and town homes in Sterling has dropped by 60 percent since 2007 and 56 percent since this time last year. The condo inventory in Sterling has dropped by 45 percent since this time last year. This is most significant decrease of inventory out of any large town in Loudoun County.


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Sterling Housing Market Overview

The huge drop in inventory throughout Sterling along with a huge increase in buyer demand has lead to a huge shift in the housing market in Sterling. Sterling has some of the lowest price points in Loudoun and lots of foreclosure and short-sale activity making it extremely attractive to first-time home buyers and investors. We’re even seeing areas of Sterling with slight to substantial recent price appreciation.

Homes that are priced well are getting a lot of traffic and a purchase offer within 1 to 2 weeks on the market. Homes priced slightly below (or way below as is the case with many bank-owned and short-sale properties) are getting multiple offers (5, 10, 15+ offers) and are bidding up over asking price within days, if not hours of hitting the market.

We’re seeing slight signs of the inventory leveling out. Unless it levels out, we’ll most likely see median prices continue their upward trend and lots of multiple offers on properties well into the summer.

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